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If you are evaluating an investment proposal a new business a budget a proposal involving financial risk or a scientific study then the Risk Analyzer is the tool for you. The Risk Analyzer gives you tables and graphics that illustrate the risks of the proposal. Word and PowerPoint presentations using these calculations and graphs show that you have looked at the benefits and risks of your proposal. The Risk Analyzer is extremely fast flexible and completely menu driven for ease of use. The following are the tabs on the main Risk Analyzer dialog:
The Risk Analyzer works by doing Monte Carlo simulations. Monte Carlo simulation is simply the creation of many "what if" cases to determine the expected results of a study. You do not need to know statistics or how to write probability formulas in order to use the Risk Analyzer. It is also unnecessary to embed custom functions into your workbooks. All you need to know is what values your input variables are likely to have: the minimum and maximum values and the distribution shape (uniform normal or skewed in one direction). The following illustrates the different types of distributions that are available:
The results are presented to you via graphs and tables that will be readily understood by your management investors partners associates or bankers. The following illustrates just one of the output graphs created by the Risk Analyzer:
In addition to result charts like the one above the Risk Analyzer also gives you histograms that show cumulative probabilities and tornado charts that show the sensitivity of the output variables to your input variables. The Risk Analyzer is the only risk analysis program that creates risk funnel charts like the following:
Such charts are a great way to graphically see the risk of a proposal. Key features of the Risk Analyzer:
Sample Model (PDF format)
The following are worksheets and reports (PDF format) constructed by the Risk Analyzer
For a comparison to other risk analysis software and for features and issues one should consider when purchasing risk analysis software
visit our risk analysis software comparison page.
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